Great Commission Prioritization of Countries:

Helping to Make Completing the Great Commission More Meaningful for All Believers

 

John Pitterle <www.geocities.com/AdvocatesForTheUnreached>

Former missionary to Madagascar
Current missions committee member and research engineer

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ABSTRACT

 

Where are the people who have not heard about Jesus?  This article seeks to answer this question and address the great need to prioritize the Great Commission.  Because most Christians can more easily locate countries rather than people groups, readily available missions information was used to prioritize the nations using ten criteria.  Data for 15,893 people groups and 222 countries were used to evaluate the status of Christianity in the nations.  The results have many possible applications about world evangelization efforts.  People in nations with little access to the gospel especially need prayer, gospel tools, and new missionaries.  Greater emphasis needs to be placed on bringing the awesome truth of Jesus to the least reached.

 

I.                   INRODUCTION

 

In areas where there are no hospitals or schools, most people would agree that it should be a priority to provide medical help or education to the people who live there.  In a similar way, where very few people have heard the Gospel, most Christians would agree that we should prioritize bringing the truth about Jesus.  As Paul said, “It has always been my ambition to preach the gospel where Christ was not known, so that I would not be building on someone else's foundation.  Rather, as it is written ‘Those who were not told about him will see, and those who have not heard will understand.’” (Romans 15:20, 21)

 

David Bryant said, “Today five out of six non-Christians in our world have no hope unless missionaries come to them and plant the church among them.1  If this is true, perhaps we should do something about it. 

 

II.                WHERE ARE THE PEOPLE WHO HAVE NOT HEARD ABOUT JESUS? 

 

Where are the people who have not heard about Jesus?  This is a critical question that will be addressed in this article since there is a great need to prioritize and strategize.  Because many Christians and churches cannot locate unreached people groups on a map or target them with their missions giving, this article focuses on a country-by-country approach.  Thus we will look at the status of the Great Commission in the nations of the world to answer the question, “Where do people have the least opportunity to hear the Gospel?”  The nations will then be prioritized using available data.  Such findings can be helpful for praying, for churches regarding their missions program, for individual giving towards the Great Commission, etc.  Possible next steps are offered.  It is hoped that a country prioritization approach will provide a more concrete, understandable way for more Christians to emphasize the least reached in their Great Commission involvement. 

 

 

 

III.             GREAT COMMISSION PRIORITIZATION OF COUNTRIES

 

Excellent missions-related information is available today.  For example, the Joshua Project2 (JP) has large amounts of data available freely to churches, organizations, and individuals who can apply it to their specific applications as was done in this paper.  Similarly, information from the World Christian Trends AD 30 – AD 22003 (WCT) book was also used in this country prioritization. 

 

There are numerous parameters that could be used to evaluate the state of the Great Commission in the nations of the world.  The weighting of the final ten criteria used here to evaluate countries and produce an overall score out of 100 possible points is shown in Figure A1 and explained in the appendix. 

 

For 15,893 people groups, the Joshua Project has scores for progress, ministry tools, and location (identified as “Country Indices” in Table A1).  The JP article MFPrioritizationArticle.doc4 provides a description of these three criteria.  Using a simple computer program, these three scores were separately multiplied by the respective populations of all the people groups in a given country and then added together.  These country totals were then divided by the total population of the people groups in each country to provide an average score for these three categories in each nation. 

 

The JP web site5 also provides information about each country regarding the percentage of people living in a least reached people group, the population in least reached people groups, the number of least reached people groups, and the total population.  Barrett and Johnson1 provide data regarding the number of disciple offers per person per year, the number of Christian workers per million population, and the cost (to lead to the baptism) of each new convert. 

 

Table 1 shows the resulting total scores for 222 countries in common between the JP and WCT using the previously mentioned weighting.  The highest scores indicate the poorest Great Commission status and the highest priority, starting with rank / priority #1.  Scores for selected countries are shown in Figure 1. 

 

These scores are not intended to show minute differences that can distinguish between consecutive countries in the list.  Rather, one could possibly say that countries within 20 places or ten points may have a similar priority. 

 

 

IV.              HELPING TO MAKE COMPLETING THE GREAT COMMISSION MORE MEANINGFUL FOR ALL BELIEVERS

 

This study is based on statistics.  While it is certainly very important to be led by the Holy Spirit, the data here most likely reflect on the truth of the status of the Great Commission.  Thus, such information can be used to help make prayerful and objective decisions regarding world evangelization efforts. 

 

There are many possible applications for data like these.  For example, the overall prioritization of the U.S. is 123 and of Afghanistan is 1.  Table 2 emphasizes the severe lack of Christian resources in Afghanistan and the excessive amount in America.  27.8% of the world’s full-time Christian workers and 34.1% of all Christian personal or church income are in the USA while 0.0013% and 0.00002% of these resources, respectively, are in Afghanistan.3  Considering the overabundance of Christian resources in the United States, perhaps we should consider minimizing our Great Commission investment in this country where most people have many opportunities to hear the truth about Jesus while there are so many people around the world who have heard little or nothing.  For instance, of the 1,533,000 Christian workers in the U.S.,3 1.28 million or 83.4% of these Christian workers could perhaps be missionaries in another country in order to achieve global equity.6 

 

People living in the countries with the highest scores typically have little or no exposure to the Gospel or opportunity to hear about Jesus.  For this reason, the people in these countries really need prayer especially since there are few Christians there to pray for all the lost people.  It could also be strategic to send new missionaries and focus more outreach on the higher priority nations because many of the people groups in these nations have little or no evangelical activity. 

 

There is a great need to prioritize the Great Commission and strategize.  There are many ways that this information can be practically applied to prioritize participation in the Great Commission based on need.  For example, we can all maximize our investment in high priority nations.  Churches and individuals can evaluate the missionaries / organizations they support and consider focusing more on countries near the top 1/3 of the priority list.  Churches could especially think about adding more new missionaries in high priority nations.  Churches can establish goals to increase the percentage of their support in the top nations.  Scripture / gospel literature support could be earmarked for high priority countries.  Lastly, greater emphasis could be placed on international student ministry, in particular seeking to reach people from high priority nations.  It can be very easy and strategic to befriend and reach out to future international leaders who are studying in universities away from home. 

 

As agreed upon by more than 2,300 evangelicals from more than 150 nations in the Lausanne Covenant of 1974,7

 

We are convinced that this is the time for churches and para-church agencies to pray earnestly for the salvation of the unreached and to launch new efforts to achieve world evangelization. A reduction of foreign missionaries and money in an evangelized country may sometimes be necessary to facilitate the national church's growth in self-reliance and to release resources for unevangelized areas.  . . .  The goal should be, by all available means and at the earliest possible time, that every person will have the opportunity to hear, understand, and receive the good news.8

 

 

V.                 CONCLUSION

 

In conclusion, in order to more quickly complete the task Jesus left the church to do, there is a great need to prioritize reaching people who have little or no access to the Gospel.  Country prioritization like that done in this article can be used to help churches, ministries, and individuals prioritize their participation in the Great Commission.  Many follow-up actions like more focused prayer and new missionaries or gospel resources targeted for countries with many least reached people can be pursued.


ENDNOTES

 

1“100 World Christian Quotes.”  March 2007.

http://thetravelingteam.org/?q=node/196.  

2“Joshua Project – Downloads.”  April 2006.

http://www.joshuaproject.net/download.php.

3Barrett, David, and Todd Johnson.  World Christian Trends AD 30 – AD 2200.  

Pasadena, CA:  William Carey Library, 2001, pp. 416-425.

4“MFPrioritizationArticle.doc.”  March 2007.  

http://www.joshuaproject.net/assets/MFPrioritizationArticle.doc.

5“Global Countries Listing.”  May 2006.  http://www.joshuaproject.net/globalctry.php.

6“Great Commission Priorities.”  March 2007, slide 9.

http://www.geocities.com/AdvocatesForTheUnreached/Great_Commission_Priorities.pps.

7“The Lausanne Committee for World Evangelization.” March 2007. 

http://www.lausanne.org/Brix?pageID=12891.  

8“The Lausanne Covenant.”  March 2007. 

http://www.perspectives.org/about/lausanne.html.  

 

 

 

 


Table 1 – Country Great Commission Status Scores and Prioritization Ranks

 

 
Total Score

Country

Rank Priority

96.38

Afghanistan

1

94.11

Algeria

2

94.00

Iran

3

91.94

Bangladesh

4

91.07

Tunisia

5

90.62

Pakistan

6

89.53

Turkey

7

89.03

Morocco

8

88.57

Yemen

9

87.88

Maldives

10

86.55

Nepal

11

86.28

Azerbaijan

12

85.73

Western Sahara

13

85.01

Korea North

14

84.66

Cambodia

15

84.33

Comoros

16

84.26

Mongolia

17

84.08

Iraq

18

83.72

Saudi Arabia

19

82.81

Laos

20

82.60

Niger

21

81.91

Guinea

22

81.90

Kyrgyzstan

23

81.83

Mauritania

24

81.53

Bhutan

25

81.52

Mali

26

81.23

Libya

27

80.58

India

28

78.29

Senegal

29

78.12

Oman

30

77.51

Syria

31

77.28

Uzbekistan

32

76.59

Japan

33

76.40

Somalia

34

76.03

Jordan

35

75.95

Turkmenistan

36

75.80

Chad

37

75.72

Kuwait

38

75.25

Thailand

39

75.14

Bahrain

40

75.09

Tajikistan

41

74.64

Israel

42

74.56

Viet Nam

43

74.02

Gambia

44

73.83

Egypt

45

73.82

Mayotte

46

72.84

Sudan

47

71.42

United Arab Emirates

48

71.38

Kazakhstan

49

70.43

Myanmar

50

69.24

Djibouti

51

69.09

Indonesia

52

69.04

Guinea-Bissau

53

68.72

Qatar

54

68.26

Sri Lanka

55

67.84

Eritrea

56

67.36

Serbia and Montenegro

57

65.74

China

58

65.26

Sierra Leone

59

64.93

Taiwan

60

64.63

Georgia

61

64.42

Brunei

62

64.09

Malaysia

63

63.52

Tanzania

64

62.44

Ivory Coast

65

61.80

Benin

66

61.45

Nigeria

67

61.00

Russia

68

60.36

Mozambique

69

60.12

Burkina Faso

70

59.96

Bosnia-Herzegovina

71

59.60

Central African Rep

72

58.67

Liberia

73

57.16

Ethiopia

74

56.82

Togo

75

56.46

Palestine

76

55.37

France

77

54.70

Belarus

78

54.64

Singapore

79

54.37

Guyana

80

53.52

Ghana

81

52.80

Lebanon

82

52.71

Cameroon

83

52.54

Macedonia

84

52.17

Kenya

85

51.84

Netherlands

86

50.02

Gibraltar

87

49.49

Estonia

88

49.43

Zambia

89

48.78

Liechtenstein

90

48.36

Bulgaria

91

48.22

Moldavia

92

48.07

Ukraine

93

47.74

Equatorial Guinea

94

47.33

Trinidad & Tobago

95

46.96

Austria

96

46.60

Armenia

97

46.40

Gabon

98

46.28

Albania

99

46.03

Madagascar

100

45.83

Germany

101

45.21

Italy

102

45.15

Cyprus

103

44.80

Cuba

104

44.75

Spain

105

44.71

East Timor

106

43.76

Philippines

107

43.68

Lithuania

108

43.07

Britain

109

43.03

Belgium

110

42.87

Namibia

111

41.49

Reunion

112

41.29

Malawi

113

41.28

Congo-Brazzaville

114

41.25

Latvia

115

40.48

South Africa

116

40.27

Australia

117

39.73

Suriname

118

39.51

Canada

119

39.14

Fiji

120

38.72

Monaco

121

38.56

Northern Mariana Is

122

38.14

United States

123

37.64

Luxembourg

124

37.54

Argentina

125

37.53

Uganda

126

37.07

Sweden

127

36.71

Greece

128

36.66

Mauritius

129

36.16

Andorra

130

35.85

Jamaica

131

35.25

Finland

132

34.98

Czech Republic

133

34.97

Chile

134

34.31

Zimbabwe

135

33.69

Venezuela

136

33.61

Congo-Zaire

137

33.33

Uruguay

138

33.33

Slovenia

139

32.81

Saint Vincent

140

32.42

Cayman Islands

141

32.25

Sao Tome & Principe

142

32.17

Romania

143

32.04

Croatia

144

31.85

French Guiana

145

31.62

Hungary

146

31.32

Switzerland

147

31.02

Isle of Man

148

30.93

Belize

149

30.90

Paraguay

150

30.65

American Samoa

151

30.20

Colombia

152

29.83

Botswana

153

29.74

Denmark

154

29.33

Guatemala

155

28.94

New Zealand

156

28.64

Mexico

157

28.60

Peru

158

28.37

Papua New Guinea

159

27.57

New Caledonia

160

27.51

Haiti

161

27.36

Ireland

162

27.26

Rwanda

163

27.06

Seychelles

164

27.06

Angola

165

26.92

Slovakia

166

26.83

Norway

167

26.58

Bahamas

168

26.55

Iceland

169

26.50

Burundi

170

26.50

Virgin Is of the US

171

26.46

Puerto Rico

172

25.71

Marshall Islands

173

25.67

Bermuda

174

25.42

Nauru

175

24.81

Ecuador

176

24.76

El Salvador

177

24.11

Netherlands Antilles

178

24.05

Barbados

179

23.75

Saint Lucia

180

23.63

Portugal

181

23.60

Brazil

182

23.55

Honduras

183

23.45

Turks & Caicos Is

184

23.13

Vanuatu

185

22.73

Aruba

186

21.95

Antigua

187

21.54

San Marino

188

21.52

Martinique

189

21.44

Poland

190

21.44

Bolivia

191

21.21

Greenland

192

21.20

Dominican Republic

193

21.19

Micronesia

194

20.51

Korea South

195

20.17

French Polynesia

196

19.96

Nicaragua

197

19.68

Panama

198

19.09

Solomon Islands

199

18.67

Tonga

200

17.67

Samoa

201

17.42

Lesotho

202

17.38

Costa Rica

203

17.37

British Virgin Is

204

16.99

Dominica

205

16.59

Kiribati

206

15.99

Saint Kitts & Nevis

207

15.61

Swaziland

208

15.27

Cape Verde

209

14.40

Guam

210

13.75

Palau

211

13.15

Anguilla

212

12.95

Cook Islands

213

12.50

Tuvalu

214

12.25

Saint Pierre & Miquelon

215

12.03

Wallis & Futuna Is

216

10.58

Malta

217

10.07

Guadeloupe

218

9.07

Faeroe Islands

219

8.51

Montserrat

220

7.23

Saint Helena

221

5.81

Grenada

222

Table 2 – Comparison of Christian Resources/Criteria in the USA and Afghanistan

 

 

USA

Afghanistan

Priority

123

1

% of World’s Full-Time Christian Workers

27.8%3

(6.0 x % pop.)

0.0013%3

(1/292 x % pop.)

% of All Christian Personal or Church Income

34.1%3

(7.4 x % pop.)

0.00002%3

(1/19000 x % pop.)

% of World Population

4.6%3

0.38%3

# Discipleship Opportunities per Person per Year

3683

Less than 13

% Population Least Reached in the Country

0.3%5

99.9%5

% Christian

76%

0.03%

% Evangelical Christian

32.5%5

0.0%5

Average Cost / Convert

$1,551,0003

$30,0003

 

 

 

 

 

 

Appendix – Description of Prioritization Criteria and Method

 

 

 

 

Table A1 – Prioritization Weighting Criteria and Description

 

Criteria (Percent Weighting)

Description

Percent Least Reached (25%)

Percent of the country's population living in a least reached people group

Number Evangelism/Discipleship Opportunities (18%)

The (average) number of discipleship offers per person per year in the country

Joshua Project Progress (15%)

Progress of or response to the Gospel

Christian Workers per Million (14%)

Number of Christian workers per million population

Ministry Tools (8%)

Bible translation status, Jesus film, audio recordings, & Christian radio broadcasting

Country Indices (7%)

Location indices (country persecution index, human development index, & percent evangelical)

Population People Least Reached (6%)

Population living in a least reached people group

Number Least Reached People Groups (4%)

Number of least reached people groups in the country

Population (2%)

Population of the country

Cost / Convert (1%)

Average cost to lead to a baptism

 

Numerous weighting parameters of the ten prioritization criteria were analyzed.  The categories are described in Table A1.  For a while, the actual numerical values of the criteria were used.  However, because extreme values skewed some aspects of the relative comparison, countries were ranked and scored from 1 to 222 for each of the topics and these numbers were used to produce the final weighted scores. 

 

The top three criteria provide a good indication of the current status of the Great Commission.  The percent of people living in a least reached people group is most heavily weighted because it is an important indicator of the country’s need for the Gospel.  Similarly, the average number of opportunities a person in a given country has to become a disciple of Jesus in a year reveals a helpful glimpse about the status of evangelism.  Originally Joshua Project Progress was weighted the most because it incorporates information for all people groups but the data appeared less discriminating than other parameters and thus it was reduced. 

 

The next group of three categories represents vehicles (tools or people) that can be used to share the Gospel and also a composite score of Christian life in the country.  Ministry Tools initially had the largest weight of these three topics but it was reduced because some of the data seemed to be less consistent.  In general, somewhat greater emphasis was typically given to data more directly related to the Great Commission.

 

Three population items were used to add more weight for countries with more people.  The total of 10% for these three criteria was selected in attempt to not excessively bias the influence of population. 

 

Finally, the cost per baptism (i.e., convert) was included mostly because it is an interesting statistic although it could potentially be used as a tiebreaker.

 

Published in the special issue “A Memoriam of Paul G. Hiebert”, Contemporary Practice,

www.globalmissiology.org April 1, 2007